海上風(fēng)電政策與市場(chǎng)評(píng)估全球展望OFFSHORE WIND POLICY AND MARKET ASSESSMENT A GLOBAL OUTLOOK
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代表FOWIND財(cái)團(tuán)。我很高興介紹我們的最新報(bào)告:“從0到5吉瓦海上風(fēng)電輸出fbr古吉拉特邦和泰米爾納德邦(2018-2032)*這是古吉拉特邦和泰米爾納德邦的路線圖,包括
從四年的調(diào)查中學(xué)到的經(jīng)驗(yàn),為這兩個(gè)州制定出一個(gè)可行的發(fā)展路線圖,以發(fā)展強(qiáng)勁、可持續(xù)的海上風(fēng)電行業(yè)。這不是一個(gè)預(yù)測(cè),而且很可能會(huì)被超越;但是當(dāng)我們從2032年開始回望時(shí),我們將能夠看到這項(xiàng)工作如何確定了發(fā)展海上風(fēng)電行業(yè)對(duì)印度向清潔能源經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型的主要機(jī)遇和挑戰(zhàn),在全球第四大陸上風(fēng)能行業(yè)中處于領(lǐng)先地位;有許多挑戰(zhàn)需要克服。該國(guó)正處在從現(xiàn)有系統(tǒng)中重新建立電力部門的過(guò)程中,該系統(tǒng)主要依賴于像二十世紀(jì)初的電話系統(tǒng)那樣與中央交換機(jī)連接的大型集中式電站,其中一個(gè)更類似于互聯(lián)網(wǎng),具有各種各樣的分布式電源AF。發(fā)電和發(fā)電是一項(xiàng)長(zhǎng)期的需求。這個(gè)過(guò)程需要一段時(shí)間,而且一路上會(huì)有顛簸。但旅行的方向是干凈的
2017年,風(fēng)電和太陽(yáng)能光伏發(fā)電價(jià)格暴跌成為全球媒體的頭條新聞,最近幾年,主要在2020年后交付的海上風(fēng)電采購(gòu)價(jià)格也出現(xiàn)了先發(fā)制人的下跌。這些項(xiàng)目在一定程度上將依賴新一代渦輪機(jī),其中許多飛機(jī)的尺寸超過(guò)10兆瓦,轉(zhuǎn)子直徑遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)超過(guò)150米,是空客380飛機(jī)翼展的兩倍,也是迄今為止生產(chǎn)的最大的旋轉(zhuǎn)機(jī)械。認(rèn)真進(jìn)行中長(zhǎng)期規(guī)劃,投資各類基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施,特別是輸電、港口和鐵路,將是實(shí)現(xiàn)這一目標(biāo)的必要條件。建立魯布斯特國(guó)家供應(yīng)鏈和基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施需要時(shí)間。但是我們相信政府對(duì)最終目標(biāo)的承諾,我們提供這項(xiàng)工作,作為對(duì)公私部門之間伙伴關(guān)系和合作的貢獻(xiàn),歐洲的經(jīng)驗(yàn)表明,這是建立一個(gè)健康的,具有競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力和可持續(xù)性的海上風(fēng)電行業(yè)。這需要堅(jiān)韌不拔和堅(jiān)持不懈的精神,但我們相信,長(zhǎng)期的回報(bào)——本土、可靠、迪恩帕韋塔(dean pawerta)推動(dòng)印度經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的巨大源泉,用它所吸引的就業(yè)和投資創(chuàng)造一個(gè)全新的產(chǎn)業(yè),是值得付出努力的。從政府方面來(lái)說(shuō),最重要的是有一個(gè)清晰的愿景,穩(wěn)定的政策,在一開始就有很多的支持和耐心!
On behalf of the FOWIND consortium. I am delighted to present our latest report: 'FROM ZEROTO FIVE GW Offshore Wind Outiook fbr Gujarat And Tamil Nadu (2018-2032)* Th is roadmap for the states of Gujarat and Tamil Nadu incorporates the
learnings from four years of investigation to come up with an achievable roadmap for the two states to dewlop robust,sustainable offshore wind sectors. It is not a forecast, and may well be exceeded;but when we look back from 2032,1 trust we will be able to see how this work has identified both the main opportunities and challenges af developing an offshore wind sector for India's transition to a clean energy-based economy.Indian burgeoning renewableenergy industry, led by its 4th in theworld onshore wind energy sector; has many challenges to overcome. The country is in the process of reinventing its power sector in just about every way-from the existing system which relies primarily on large centralized power stations connected much like an eariy 20th century telephone system with a central exchange, to one which more closely resembles the internet, with a wide variety of distributed sources af generation and irrtell ige rrt ly m an age d demand. This process will take some time, and there will be bumps along the way. but the direction of travel is clean
Plunging prices fbr wind and solar PV have grabbed headlines across the world during 2017, as have the very recent predpitous drop in the prices for offshore wind procured in the last asuple af years, to be delivered primarily after 2020.These projects will rely to some extent on a new generation of turbines, many of them larger than 10 MW in size, with rotor diameters well in excess of 150 meters - twice the wingspan of an Airbus 380,and the largest pieces of rotating machinery ever produced, by quite a long way. Serious medium and long-term planning, and investment in infrastructure of all kinds, but especially transmission, ports and raillinks will be necessary to turn this into reality. Building a rubust national supply chain and the infrastRKture will take time. Butweare confident af the government^ commitment to the ultimate goal and we offer this work as a contribution to the partnership and cooperation between the public and private sectors which experience in Europe has shown is essentia I for building a healthy, competitive and sustainable offshore wind industry.It will require both fortitude and persistence, but we believe the long-term rewards-a very large source of indigenous, reliable, dean pawerta drive India's ea)nomic growth, creating a whole new industry with the employment and investment that it attracts - are worth the effort that will be required. From the government side the most important thing is a clear vision, stable policy, lots of support in the beginning-and patience!
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