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首頁 > 資料下載 > UKERC全球石油枯竭證據審查技術報告2:儲量估計的定義和解釋UKERC Review of Evidence on Global Oil Depletion Technical Report 2:
UKERC全球石油枯竭證據審查技術報告2:儲量估計的定義和解釋UKERC Review of Evidence on Global Oil Depletion Technical Report 2: UKERC全球石油枯竭證據審查技術報告2:儲量估計的定義和解釋UKERC Review of Evidence on Global Oil Depletion Technical Report 2:

UKERC全球石油枯竭證據審查技術報告2:儲量估計的定義和解釋UKERC Review of Evidence on Global Oil Depletion Technical Report 2:

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  • 更新時間:2021-09-18
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儲量定義之間的主要不一致之處在于選擇確定性方法還是概率性方法。在確定性定義的類別中,“證明的”和“可能的”等術語被廣泛使用,但是這種語言的使用并沒有標準化。各種描述性術語都有非常主觀的解釋。在概率定義的類別中,有一個廣泛的共識,即90%、50%和10%的概率水平在報告儲量估計時是適當的。如果以允許對估計值進行回顧性評估的方式指定了“已證明的”等確定性術語,則該術語的實際使用可能與相應的概率定義不匹配。

The major inconsistency between reserve definitions is the choice of either a deterministic or probabilistic methodology. Within the class of deterministic definitions, the terms ?proved?, ?probable? and ?possible? are widely used, but the use of this language is not standardised. Various descriptive terms are used which have very subjective interpretations. Within the class of probabilistic definitions there is wide agreement that 90%, 50% and 10% probability levels are appropriate to specify when reporting reserve estimates. Where deterministic terms such as “proved” are specified in a way allowing retrospective evaluation of estimates, the actual use of the term may not match the corresponding probabilistic definition.

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