資料簡(jiǎn)介
在本篇能源視角報(bào)告，文章探討了國(guó)際石油公司（IOCs）能源轉(zhuǎn)型面臨的挑戰(zhàn)。能源需求報(bào)告預(yù)測(cè)，無(wú)法利用現(xiàn)有的經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)實(shí)現(xiàn)《巴黎協(xié)定》目標(biāo)，除非趨勢(shì)發(fā)生根本性變化，否則2050年后很長(zhǎng)一段時(shí)間內(nèi)將需要大量石油和天然氣。然而，加速脫碳也將面臨越來(lái)越大的政治、社會(huì)和金融市場(chǎng)壓力，這將對(duì)國(guó)際石油公司構(gòu)成了一個(gè)重大挑戰(zhàn)。這些國(guó)際石油公司目前的業(yè)務(wù)模式和技術(shù)與全面脫碳不相容，其未來(lái)脫碳趨勢(shì)也取決于它們能否成為解決方案的一部分。本文分析了國(guó)際石油公司在脫碳領(lǐng)域所實(shí)施的一系列投資機(jī)會(huì)，并指出了國(guó)際石油公司面臨的一些機(jī)會(huì)和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。
In this Energy Insight, we explore the challenges of the energy transition for international oil companies (IOCs). We argue that energy demand forecasts are inconsistent with meeting Paris Agreement targets using currently available and economic technologies and that, barring a radical change in tendencies, significant volumes of oil and gas will be required well after 2050. However, there will be growing political, societal and financial market pressure to accelerate decarbonization. This poses a major challenge for IOCs, whose current business models and technologies are incompatible with full decarbonization, but whose future depends on them being part of the solution. The paper analyzes a set of investment opportunities that the IOCs are pursuing within the decarbonization space and identifies some of the opportunities and risks they face.
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