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首頁 > 資料下載 > 煤炭2017年分析及對2012年的預(yù)測Coal 2017 Analysis and Forecasts to 2O22
煤炭2017年分析及對2012年的預(yù)測Coal 2017 Analysis and Forecasts to 2O22 煤炭2017年分析及對2012年的預(yù)測Coal 2017 Analysis and Forecasts to 2O22

煤炭2017年分析及對2012年的預(yù)測Coal 2017 Analysis and Forecasts to 2O22

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2016年,全球煤炭需求連續(xù)第二年下降,接近上世紀(jì)90年代初創(chuàng)下的兩年下降紀(jì)錄。2016年,全球煤炭需求下降1.9%,至5357百萬噸標(biāo)準(zhǔn)煤,原因是天然氣價格下降、可再生能源激增和能源效率提高大大降低了煤炭消費。自2014年以來,煤炭需求量下降了4.2%,幾乎與1990-1992年的下降持平,這是國際能源機構(gòu)40多年前開始編制統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)以來最大的兩年降幅。2016年,印度和其他亞洲國家煤炭使用量的上升無法抵消美國、中國(需求連續(xù)第三年下降)和英國(需求下降超過50%)的大幅下降。在美國,煤炭在電力部門的主導(dǎo)地位因天然氣價格低而受到侵蝕;在中國,由于與改善空氣質(zhì)量有關(guān)的工業(yè)和住宅部門使用量減少,煤炭需求下降;在英國,最近出臺的碳價格下限敲響了發(fā)電用煤的喪鐘。

Global coal demand dropped for a second year in a row in 2016, approaching the previous record for two-year declines set in the early 1990s. Global demand for coal fell by 1.9% in 2016 to 5 357 Mtce, as lower gas prices, a surge in renewables and energy efficiency improvements put a major dent on coal consumption. Demand for coal has now dropped by 4.2% since 2014, almost matching the fall of 1990- 1992 which was the largest two-year decline recorded since the IEA started compiling statistics more than 40 years ago. In 2016, rising coal use in India and other Asian countries was unable to offset large declines in the United States, China (where demand dropped for the third consecutive year) and in the United Kingdom (where demand dropped by more than 50%). In the United States, coal’s dominance in the power sector has been eroded by low gas prices; in China, coal demand has fallen due to lower use in the industrial and residential sectors linked to efforts to improve air quality; while in the United Kingdom a recently introduced carbon price floor has rung the death knell for coal use in power generation.

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