Analysis on the economic competitiveness of coal to gas煤制氣的經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭性分析
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Coal to gas, as a "high energy consumption, high pollution, high water consumption" coal conversion and utilization product, has been restricted and contained until 2011; however, in just three years, the national policy has shifted from the initial restrictions to promoting demonstration projects. In 2014, the energy guidance proposed to actively promote the industrialization of coal to gas, and proposed the goal of reaching 50 billion cubic meters by 2020. However, in terms of technology maturity, economic uncertainty, environment and external cost of climate change, there are still many obstacles in the development of coal to gas industrialization in order to achieve this output goal. We believe that at this stage, we should strengthen the demonstration of coal to gas technology and test whether the technology is mature from multiple perspectives; before the demonstration project practice proves that the new technology breakthrough, the competitiveness of coal to gas is very weak, so it should not be regarded as the industrial scale development.
煤制氣,作為“高耗能、高污染、高水耗”的煤炭轉(zhuǎn)化利用產(chǎn)品,在2011年以前一 直是被限制和遏制的對象;但是在短短三年間,國家的政策就從起初的限制轉(zhuǎn)向到推動 示范項(xiàng)目。2014年能源指導(dǎo)意見提出要積極推進(jìn)煤制氣的產(chǎn)業(yè)化,而且提出了2020年達(dá) 到500億方的目標(biāo)。但是從技術(shù)的成熟度、經(jīng)濟(jì)的不確定性、環(huán)境和氣候變化外部成本 三個方面來看,為實(shí)現(xiàn)這個產(chǎn)量目標(biāo),煤制氣產(chǎn)業(yè)化發(fā)展仍存在很多障礙。我們認(rèn)為現(xiàn) 階段應(yīng)加強(qiáng)煤制氣技術(shù)示范,多角度檢驗(yàn)技術(shù)能否成熟;在示范項(xiàng)目實(shí)踐證明新的技術(shù) 突破以前,煤制氣的競爭性很弱,應(yīng)該不作為產(chǎn)業(yè)規(guī)?;l(fā)展。-
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