Discussion on the surplus of coal and electricity in the 13th five year plan“十三五”煤電過剩問題探析
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On November 7, 2016, the national development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration held a press conference and officially released the 13th five year plan for electric power development According to the 13th five year plan for electric power development, it is estimated that in 2020, the power consumption of the whole society will be 6.8-7.2 trillion kwh, with an average annual growth of 3.6-4.8%. At the same time, in order to avoid the situation of power shortage affecting economic and social development and the principle of power development being moderately ahead of schedule, on the basis of the expected demand for electricity consumption of the whole society, the plan reserves electric power according to 200 billion kwh to meet the needs of economic and social development. The installed capacity of power generation in China is 2 billion kilowatts, with an average annual growth of 5.5%. The per capita installed capacity has exceeded 1.4 kilowatts, and the per capita power consumption is about 5000 kilowatt hours, which is close to the level of medium-sized developed countries. The proportion of electric energy in the end energy consumption has reached 27%
2016 年 11 月 7 日,國(guó)家發(fā)改委、國(guó)家能源局召開新聞發(fā)布會(huì),對(duì)外正式發(fā) 布《電力發(fā)展“十三五”規(guī)劃》。 根據(jù)《電力發(fā)展“十三五”規(guī)劃》, 預(yù)計(jì) 2020 年 全社會(huì)用電量 6.8-7.2 萬億千瓦時(shí),年均增長(zhǎng) 3.6%到 4.8%。規(guī)劃同時(shí)考慮為避免 出現(xiàn)電力短缺影響經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展的情況和電力發(fā)展適度超前的原則,在預(yù)期全社 會(huì)用電量需求的基礎(chǔ)之上,按照 2000 億千瓦時(shí)預(yù)留電力儲(chǔ)備,以滿足經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì) 可能出現(xiàn)加速發(fā)展的需要。全國(guó)發(fā)電裝機(jī)容量 20 億千瓦,年均增長(zhǎng) 5.5%,人均 裝機(jī)突破 1.4 千瓦,人均用電量 5000 千瓦時(shí)左右,接近中等發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家水平,電 能占終端能源消費(fèi)比重達(dá)到 27%。-
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