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首頁 > 資料下載 > 2014年中國風電發(fā)展展望2014 China Wind Power Review and Outlook
2014年中國風電發(fā)展展望2014 China Wind Power Review and Outlook 2014年中國風電發(fā)展展望2014 China Wind Power Review and Outlook

2014年中國風電發(fā)展展望2014 China Wind Power Review and Outlook

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Proinfa plan: in 2002, the Brazilian government adopted the "proinfa" plan, which aims to diversify the power structure and promote the development of Brazil's wind power industry by increasing the use of new alternative energy. The plan is divided into two phases, including small hydropower plants, biomass power generation and wind power generation, and is divided into two consecutive phases. Decree No. 10.438, adopted on 26 April 2002, sets targets and timetables for the proinfa plan, the mechanism for allocating projects and the price of electricity sold. The total installed power generation capacity allocated in the first stage is 3300mw, which is distributed in wind power generation, biomass power generation and small hydropower plants, of which 1429 MW is wind power generation. This quota must be implemented by December 30, 2008, and includes provisions to confirm the fixed tariff and access of all power to the grid within 20 years. 3300mw of installed capacity is distributed equally among wind power, small hydropower and biomass power generation. The first phase of the plan is based on a 20-year guaranteed power purchase agreement signed by the Brazilian central electric power company. The power purchase price is set by the government, which is 50%, 70% and 90% of the average social retail price in the last 12 months (for small hydropower stations, biomass power generation and wind power respectively). The plan is participated by an independent power producer, and the power equipment and services of the first phase are set At least 60% of them are nationalized. The target set in the second phase is for new renewable energy to provide 10% of the country's annual electricity consumption within 20 years. After achieving the objectives of the first phase, the implementation of the second phase begins. The electricity price of the second stage will be the same as the competitive energy generation price in the electricity market, which is defined as the weighted average cost of power generation for new hydropower stations and natural gas power stations with generating capacity greater than 30MW. This stage is also based on the 20-year power purchase agreement signed by the Brazilian Central power company, which increases the output of new renewable energy to the consumer market by at least 15% every year through the procurement plan of each manufacturer. Evaluation of the proinfa program: during the implementation of the first phase, some practical problems damaged the development of some projects, thus delaying the start of actions. These problems include: complex requirements and bureaucratic procedures for obtaining or updating environmental permits; problems and delays in the utility declaration (DUP) of various projects. DUP can help to obtain the right to use the assets and the right to influence the project during the negotiation process, especially the right to use the land. In many cases, land is subject to complex terms of use and occupation. Disputes between owners and landowners make it very difficult to determine property. Grid connection obstacles, especially in the central and western regions. Domestic industry is difficult to meet a large number of equipment needs. As a result of these experiences, the deadline for the plan has been postponed many times. By the end of 2010, 926mw wind power generation equipment has been installed in Brazil, covering 51 wind farms and in line with 40 proinfa projects. Brazil has recently achieved the installed capacity of 1000MW wind power and is expected to reach the goal of the first phase of proinfa in 2011. In the last two years of the proinfa plan, the installed speed of wind power is increasing continuously, showing a trend of continuous growth. At present, 97% of the installed wind power generation is realized through the proinfa project. In December 2009 and August 2010 (ler-2009, lfa-2010 and ler-2010), the Brazilian Ministry of mines and energy held a regulatory procurement process to allow wind power participation. These auctions have greatly promoted the development of wind power generation. With the help of the proinfa project and such auctions, it is estimated that the installed capacity of wind power in Brazil will reach 5300mw by 2013, and the wind power industry will attract more than 10 billion US dollars in investment in the next three years.

PROINFA 計劃:2002年,巴西政府通過了“替代電力能源激勵計劃PROINFA)”,該項計劃旨在通過增加新替代能源的使用實現(xiàn)電力結構多樣化,推動巴西風力發(fā)電業(yè)的發(fā)展。該計劃分為兩個階段,涵蓋小型水力發(fā)電廠、生物質(zhì)能發(fā)電和風力發(fā)電,并分為兩個連續(xù)階段。20024 26日通過的第10.438號法令為PROINFA計劃設定了目標和時間表、分配項目機制以及售電價格。第一階段分配的總發(fā)電裝機容量為3,300MW,分布于風力發(fā)電、生物質(zhì)能發(fā)電和小型水電廠,其中風力發(fā)電占1,429 MW。這一配額必須于20081230日前實施,并包括20內(nèi)確認固定電價和所有電力可接入電網(wǎng)的規(guī)定。3,300MW的裝機容量平均分配于風電、小水電和生物質(zhì)能發(fā)電。該計劃的第一階段基于巴西中央電力公司簽署的一項20年保證購電協(xié)議,購電價格由政府制定,分別為最近12個月社會平均零售電價的50%、70%和90%(分別針對小型水電站、生物質(zhì)能發(fā)電和風電),該計劃由一家獨立電力生產(chǎn)商參與,且第一階段的電力設備和服務的國有化指數(shù)至少為60%。在第二階段設定的目標是新的可再生能源在20年內(nèi)提供國家年耗電量的10%。實現(xiàn)第一階段的目標后,開始執(zhí)行第二階段。第二階段的電力價格將與電力市場中有競爭力的能源發(fā)電價格相同,這樣的電價定義為發(fā)電容量大于30MW的新水電站及天然氣發(fā)電站發(fā)電的加權平均成本。該階段同樣基于巴西中央電力公司簽署的20年購電協(xié)議,通過每年各生產(chǎn)商的采購計劃使新的可再生能源向消費市場輸出的電量每年至少增加15%PROINFA 計劃的評估:在第一階段的實施過程中, 一些實際問題破壞了部分項目的發(fā)展,從而延遲了行動的開始。這些問題包括:獲取或更新環(huán)境許可證時有繁雜的要求和繁復的官僚程序;各項目的公用事業(yè)申報(DUP)發(fā)生問題及延遲。DUP 可以幫助在談判過程中獲得資產(chǎn)使用權和獲得影響項目權力權利,特別是土地使用權。在很多情況下土地受復雜的使用和占用條款約束,所有者和土地所有者之間的糾紛使確定財產(chǎn)十分困難電網(wǎng)連接障礙,特別是中西部地區(qū)國內(nèi)工業(yè)難以滿足大量的設備需求。由于這些經(jīng)驗,該計劃的最后期限已被多次推遲, 至2010年年底,巴西已安裝926MW風力發(fā)電設備, 遍布51個風電場并與40PROINFA項目保持一致。巴西近期已實現(xiàn)1000MW風電裝機容量,預計將于2011年達到PROINFA第一階段的目標。PROINFA計劃的最后兩年中,風電裝機速度不斷增加,呈持續(xù)增長的趨勢。目前,97%的風力發(fā)電裝機是通過PROINFA項目實現(xiàn)的。200912月以及20108月(LER-2009年,LFA-2010年和LER-2010年),巴西礦業(yè)和能源部舉辦了監(jiān)管采購程序,允許風力發(fā)電參與。這些拍賣大大推動了風力發(fā)電的發(fā)展。在PROINFA項目和該類拍賣的助力下,預計到2013年巴西的風電裝機容量將達5300MW,未來三年風電產(chǎn)業(yè)將吸引投資超過100億美元。




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