2014年對風電行業(yè)來說是一個偉大的一年，創(chuàng)下了單年裝機超過51千兆瓦的新紀錄，使全球裝機總量接近370千兆瓦。我們知道去年會有一個實質性的復蘇，但沒有人預測中國將僅安裝23gw的新風電（另一項記錄）；這也解釋了我們?nèi)ツ觐A計的47gw與實際安裝的51gw之間的大部分差異。在亞洲的其他地方，印度度過了一個不引人注意的一年，但隨著新政府可再生能源的推進，我們預計印度在未來的5-10年會有巨大的發(fā)展；在巴基斯坦和菲律賓也有顯著的新設施，幫助亞洲再次引領所有地區(qū)市場，并在累積方面超過歐洲裝機容量。歐洲也給了我們一個驚喜，盡管沒有那么戲劇性，因為我們預計歐洲市場的年增長率將達到5%左右，而我們正在尋找一個小的衰退。德國也創(chuàng)下了新紀錄，裝機近5300兆瓦，這是除中國和美國以外的任何國家在一年內(nèi)首次裝機超過5000兆瓦。英國、瑞典和法國都度過了美好的歲月，波蘭和土耳其也一樣。2014年美國市場大幅復蘇，我們預計2015年將進一步復蘇。加拿大的情況也一樣，盡管目前這兩個市場看起來都將在2016年某個時候遭遇某種政策真空。墨西哥將采取一些松懈，因為其能源改革進程的進程向前邁進，十年余下的雄心勃勃的目標。與2013相比，2014拉丁美洲市場規(guī)模增長了兩倍，累計裝機容量增長近80%。巴西以去年近2500兆瓦的裝機容量位居世界第四，在全球累計排名中位列第十。智利和烏拉圭也公布了強勁的數(shù)據(jù)，該地區(qū)現(xiàn)在已經(jīng)開始充分挖掘其巨大的風力發(fā)電潛力。2014年的一個重大新故事是南非，2014年，南非的電力市場正式騰飛，裝機560兆瓦，還有更多的電力供應。摩洛哥插手了非洲最大的風電場，300兆瓦的塔爾法亞項目，似乎非洲將在北部、南部和東部蓬勃發(fā)展，西非的發(fā)展稍晚。2014年和未來的兩大事件繼續(xù)是石油價格的急劇下跌，以及對氣候變化的日益擔憂，為2015年底在巴黎舉行的第21屆締約方會議做準備。人們常常認為，油價下跌將對風電行業(yè)產(chǎn)生影響，但目前還沒有證據(jù)表明這一點——總的來說，我們沒有與石油競爭，天然氣價格也不再像過去那樣與油價緊密相連。不幸的是，迄今為止幾乎沒有證據(jù)表明，巴黎談判將產(chǎn)生的新協(xié)議將對可再生能源的部署產(chǎn)生很大的直接、短期影響。現(xiàn)在還有時間改變這種狀況，而國際能源機構最近發(fā)布的有關2014年能源行業(yè)排放量趨于平穩(wěn)的消息，讓所有人都有希望，我們實際上能夠解決氣候變化問題，而風能將是其中的一個重要部分?？梢钥隙ǖ氖?，在最近大多數(shù)增長市場中，風能的主要驅動力是一方面風能的競爭力日益增強——風能在價格上成功地與高補貼的在位者競爭的市場數(shù)量繼續(xù)增長；以及消除令人窒息的煙霧的必要性，這種煙霧正在使越來越多的發(fā)展中國家的主要城市（不僅是中國）無法居住。能源安全、成本穩(wěn)定、國家經(jīng)濟免受國際化石市場價格沖擊、創(chuàng)造就業(yè)機會和當?shù)毓I(yè)發(fā)展以及環(huán)境方面的考慮仍然存在，但價格，今年大部分主要增長市場的主要驅動力是部署速度和應對當?shù)乜諝馕廴?。至?015年，我們預計未來一年將達到50+GW，并將繼續(xù)增長。這是全球風能理事會發(fā)布的第十份全球風電產(chǎn)業(yè)現(xiàn)狀年度報告。它及時地提供了全球工業(yè)的全面概覽；一個工業(yè)目前分布在80多個國家，其中24個國家的裝機容量超過1000兆瓦，11個國家的裝機容量超過5000兆瓦。報告中包含的信息——市場數(shù)據(jù)、利潤和分析主要是通過全球GWEC成員協(xié)會和公司以及政府和獨立分析師收集的。我們感謝我們所有的貢獻者，并期待著在未來繼續(xù)我們的密切合作。

2014 was a great year for the wind industry, setting a  new record of more than 51 GW installed in a single  year, bringing the global total close to 370 GW. We knew  there would be a substantial recovery last year, but nobody predicted that China would install 23 GW of new  wind power alone (another record); and that explains  most of the difference between our projection last year  of 47 GW and the actual 51 GW that was installed. Elsewhere in Asia, India had an unspectacular year, but we expect great things from India in the coming 5-10 years as  the new government’s renewables push gets underway;  and there were signififi cant new installations in Pakistan  and the Philippines, helping Asia to once again lead all  regional markets and pass Europe in terms of cumulative  installed capacity.Europe also provided us with a surprise, albeit much  less dramatic, in the sense that the annual market grew  by about 5%, where we were looking for a small downturn. Germany also set a new record, installing nearly  5,300 MW, which is the fifi rst time any country other than  China or the US has installed more than 5,000 MW in a  single year. The UK, Sweden and France had good years,  and as did Poland and Turkey. The US market recovered substantially in 2014, and we  expect it to recover further in 2015. The same can be said  of Canada, although both markets at this point in time  look like they will run up against a policy vacuum of one  sort or another sometime in 2016. Mexico will take up  some of the slack, as the process of embedding its energy  reform process moves ahead, with ambitious targets for  the rest of the decade. The 2014 Latin American market tripled in size compared  with 2013, for cumulative installed capacity growth of  nearly 80%. Brazil led the market, at #4 in the world  with nearly 2,500 MW installed last year, and moved  into 10th place in the global cumulative rankings. Chile  and Uruguay also posted strong numbers, and the region  is now fifi nally starting to tap into its huge wind power  potential. The big new story in 2014 was South Africa, where the  market fifi nally took off in 2014, installing 560 MW, with  much more to come. Morocco chipped in with Africa’s  largest wind farm, the 300 MW Tarfaya project, and it  seems as though Africa is set to boom, North, South and  East, with West Africa coming along a bit later.The two big stories in 2014 and going forward continue  to be the precipitous drop in the price of oil, and growing  concerns about climate change, leading up to the COP 21  summit in Paris at the end of 2015. It’s often suggested  that the lower oil prices will have an effect on the wind  sector, but there’s no evidence of that yet – by and large,  we don’t compete with oil, and the price of gas is no  longer tied to the price of oil as closely as it once was. It is also unfortunately the case that there is little evidence so far that the new agreement which will emerge  from the Paris talks will have much of a direct, short term  impact on renewables deployment. There’s still time for  that to change, and the recent news from the IEA about  energy sector emissions plateauing in 2014 gives hope  to all and sundry that we can in fact tackle the climate  change problem, and wind energy will be a big part of  that. It’s safe to say that the main drivers for wind energy in  most of the growth markets of late have been on the one  hand wind’s increasingly competitiveness – the number  of markets where wind competes successfully on price  against heavily subsidized incumbents continues to grow;  and the need to fifi ght the choking smog that is making  an increasing number of the developing world’s major  cities (not only in China) unlivable. Energy security, cost  stability, insulation of national economies from the price  shocks in the international fossil markets, job creation  and local industrial development as well as environmental considerations are all still present, but price, speed of  deployment and fifi ghting local air pollution have been  the main drivers in most of the major growth markets  this year. As for 2015, we’re projecting another 50+ GW  year, and continued growth from there. This is the tenth annual report on the status of the global  wind industry by the Global Wind Energy Council. It provides a comprehensive overview of the global industry at  a moment in time; an industry now present in more than  80 countries, 24 of which have more than 1,000 MW  installed, and 11 with more than 5,000 MW. The information contained in the report – market data, profifi les and  analysis have been collected primarily through GWEC’s  member associations and companies around the world,  as well as from governments and independent analysts.  We thank all our contributors and look forward to continuing our close cooperation in the future.