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首頁 > 資料下載 > 油價(jià)下跌如何影響石油與可再生燃料的競爭力?How Lower Oil Prices Impact the Competitiveness of Oil with Renewable Fuels
油價(jià)下跌如何影響石油與可再生燃料的競爭力?How Lower Oil Prices Impact the Competitiveness of Oil with Renewable Fuels 油價(jià)下跌如何影響石油與可再生燃料的競爭力?How Lower Oil Prices Impact the Competitiveness of Oil with Renewable Fuels

油價(jià)下跌如何影響石油與可再生燃料的競爭力?How Lower Oil Prices Impact the Competitiveness of Oil with Renewable Fuels

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自2014年年中以來,油價(jià)的大幅下跌引發(fā)了人們的疑問,即廉價(jià)原油的供應(yīng)是否會破壞向無碳能源的發(fā)展,而無碳能源在過去十年里一直在積聚勢頭,對穩(wěn)定世界氣候至關(guān)重要。石油價(jià)格可以從幾個(gè)方面影響替代能源的發(fā)展。在交通運(yùn)輸方面,較低的油價(jià)可能會降低生物燃料的競爭力,近年來,生物燃料已經(jīng)對汽油等傳統(tǒng)燃料產(chǎn)生了沖擊。較低的汽油價(jià)格也會降低消費(fèi)者購買電動汽車的積極性,目前,電動汽車的購買成本較高,但運(yùn)行成本較低。在電力市場,如果將鉆井平臺從石油改為天然氣,那么降低油價(jià)可能會導(dǎo)致太陽能和風(fēng)能等可再生能源的競爭,其主要途徑是導(dǎo)致天然氣價(jià)格下降。低油價(jià)可能導(dǎo)致更多地利用石油發(fā)電,取代可再生能源,從而增加化石燃料的排放,這也是可以想象的,但可能性很小

The dramatic fall in oil prices since mid-2014 has raised questions about whether the availability of cheap crude could derail the movement toward carbon-free energy sources, which has been gathering momentum in the last decade and is essential to the stabilization of the world’s climate. Oil prices can affect the development of alternative sources of energy in a few ways. In transportation, lower oil prices can reduce the competitiveness of biofuels, which have made inroads against traditional fuels such as gasoline in recent years. Cheaper gasoline prices can also reduce consumer incentives to purchase electric vehicles, which are currently more expensive to buy but less expensive to run than vehicles with internal combustion engines. In the power market, the major way in which lower oil prices could generate competition for renewables such as solar and wind would be through causing a drop in natural gas prices if rigs were redeployed from oil to gas. It is also conceivable, but highly unlikely, that low oil prices could lead to greater use of oil to generate electricity, displacing renewable alternatives and thus increasing emissions from fossil fuels

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